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SPC Day 1 Outlook

Updates are issued at 0600 UTC, 1300 UTC, 1630 UTC, 2000 UTC, 0100 UTC - Current UTC time: May 14 2021 3:26 am


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Day 2


Categorical Day 1 Outlook



000
ACUS01 KWNS 140041
SWODY1
SPC AC 140039

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0739 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

Valid 140100Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated large hail and damaging gusts remain possible this evening
from western Nebraska into northwestern Kansas.

...Central High Plains...

Early-evening water vapor imagery depicts a mid-level vort digging
southeast across the Black Hills region. Scattered convection has
developed ahead of this feature, aided in large part by strong
boundary-layer heating. While moisture is a bit marginal, steep
lapse rates and ample shear have resulted in several robust updrafts
evolving from the NE Panhandle into northwest KS. One larger cluster
has matured into a small MCS-like system over southwest NE. This
activity has produced large hail and isolated severe wind gusts. If
precipitation continues to expand with this cluster, some hail/wind
threat could linger across northwest KS beyond 03z, especially as
LLJ is expected to focus into this part of the central Plains later
this evening.

..Darrow.. 05/14/2021

$$
        

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